This clear and accessible text describes the methods underlying short-term climate prediction at time scales of 2 weeks to a year. Although a difficult range to forecast accurately, there have been several important advances in the last ten years, most notably in understanding ocean-atmosphere interaction (El Nino for example), the release of global coverage data sets, and in prediction methods themselves. With an emphasis on the empirical approach, the text covers in detail empirical wave propagation, teleconnections, empirical orthogonal functions, and constructed analogue. It also provides a detailed description of nearly all methods used operationally in long-lead seasonal forecasts, with new examples and illustrations. The challenges of making a real time forecast are discussed, including protocol, format, and perceptions about users. Based where possible on global data sets, illustrations are not limited to the Northern Hemisphere, but include several examples from the Southern Hemisphere.
Formatos Disponibles: PDF / EPUB
Opciones de descarga:
Si deseas obtener una copia del libro puedes usar alguna de las siguientes opciones de descarga:
Spa Corrida De La Prensa This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references,…
Spa Lecciones Sobre La Retoric This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references,…
Science Of Logic In the Science of Logic, Hegel sets out to show that the process by which consciousness assimilates objects into mental concepts is more dynamic and, one might say, messier then Kant describes it. Just as he does in the Phenomenology, Hegel traces here the movement of consciousness, or the idea,…
Crecimiento Y Cambio (growth And Change) (spanish… Follow along and see how different kinds of baby animals grow and change! All animals start as babies. Even though they all look very different, they all have the same basic needs to grow up. Learn about baby penguins, kittens, blue whales, pandas, frogs, snakes, and more! The colorful images…
Der Dialog Im Diskursfeld Seiner Zeit English summary: In connection with the research on dialogue at the collaborative research center Kulturen des Performativen (Cultures of Performativity) at the Free University of Berlin, this volume aims to intensify the so far largely missing dialogue between the experts of the various stages of the genre. At the center…
Virtual Population Analysis Virtual population analysis (VPA) is a widely used model for the analysis of fished populations. While there are many VPA techniques, they vary in the way they use data and fit the model rather than in the form of the model itself. This manual describes the common VPA model and…
A Son Of The Sun Entertaining, atmospheric, and action-filled--yet difficult to obtain until now--the eight short stories in Jack Londons A Son of the Sun center on the thrilling exploits of Captain David Grief in the dangerous and exotic South Seas. Captain Grief encounters the adventurers, scoundrels, pirates, and opportunists who followed the example of…
Building Spiritual Muscle / Fortalezca Mente Y Espiritu Building Spiritual Muscles is written in five parts. Part I talks about how my encounters with ordinary people during my world travels helped put my years of metaphysical understandings into perspective. Part II is a sketch of my early life where the seeds of my metaphysical thought processes were sown.…
